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Thursday, April 2, 2009

Real Estate Board - Press Release

News Release        

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:

 

Property sales strengthen in current market cycle

 

VANCOUVER, B.C. – April 2, 2009 – The Metro Vancouver housing market experienced a movement away from volatility and toward stability to start the spring season.

 

Home sales in March 2009 returned to levels witnessed at the beginning of the decade, with 2,265 sales recorded across Metro Vancouver for the month, a 53 per cent increase over February but a 24.4 per cent decrease over March 2008, when 2,997 sales were recorded.

 

Since 1999, March sales have increased 31 per cent, on average, over the month of February. March 2009 marks the second consecutive month that sales have outperformed the ten-year average for this month-over-month comparison.

 

There’s more confidence in the housing market today than we were seeing late last year. Sales activity is rising to more typical levels given the season, and the number of homes being listed for sale is levelling off,” said Scott Russell, president of the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV).

 

New residential listings on the MLS® declined 22 per cent in March 2009 to 4,385 compared to March 2008. This is the fifth month in a row that new listings have decreased year-over-year and the third consecutive month where those declines exceeded 20 per cent.

 

Despite these trends, total active listings at the end of March 2009 had still reached14,579, a 19 per cent increase compared to the end of March 2008.

 

“REALTORS® are seeing an increasing level of interest from first-time buyers who are attracted to low interest rates, good supply of housing, greater affordability, and a considerably lower overall cost of servicing a mortgage compared to recent years,” Russell said.

 

Sales of detached properties in March 2009 declined 19.6 per cent to 897 from the 1,116 units sold during the same period in 2008. The benchmark price, as calculated by the MLSLink Housing Price Index®, for detached properties declined 15.1 per cent from March 2008 to $649,342.

 

Sales of apartment properties declined 28.8 per cent last month to 976, compared to the 1,370 sales in March 2008. The benchmark price of an apartment property declined 13.5 per cent from March 2008 to $337,099.

 

Attached property sales in March 2009 decreased 23.3 per cent to 392, compared with the 511 sales during the same month in 2008. The benchmark price of an attached unit declined 11.2 per cent between March 2008 and 2009 to $420,563.

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Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Vancouver West - Detached Houses - March 2009 Stats

The following is a summary of stats released by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver. Most of it is specific to detached houses on the Westside of Vancouver.  

Housing Price Index

 
September: $1,315,517
October: $1,279,528
November: $1,116,267
December: $1,165,007
January: $1,134.773
February: $1,170,866
March: $1,127,017 (vs $1,448,310 in March '08)
 
3-Month Average: $1,169,410
 
1-Year Change: -22.2%
3-Year Change: +6.4%
5-Year Change: +45.6%
 
 

Number of Sales

 
 
September: 46
October: 52
November: 25
December: 56
January: 46
February: 100
March: 144 (vs 136 in March '08)
 

Number of New Listings

 
September: 314
October: 232
November: 128
December: 74
January: 195
February: 203
March: 205 (vs 268 in March '08)
 

Total Active Listings (includes condos) 

 
September: 4314
October: 4241
November: 4112
December: 3424
January: 3230
February: 3332 
March: 3270 (vs 2614 in March '08)
 

Total Sales (Includes condos) 

 
September: 323
October: 285
November:  185
December: 211
January: 189
February: 399
March: 553 (vs 616 in March '08)
 

Summary 

 
Prices are essentially unchanged, at least statistically, since last month, but the low end of the market has been quickly disappearing (it's all been sold!).  For the past 6 months, with a little shopping around and a good Realtor, you could have purchased a nice home on a side street on the West Side for around $750,000.  Today, you would be lucky to find something like that for under $850,000.  Even the most pesimistic Realtors in my office are now starting to admit that the bottom has past.
 
You can see the reason for this in the statistics...  The number of new listings was almost the same in March as it was in February (up 1%), but sales have gone up 44%.  This translates into total listings being down about 15%.  We actually had more sales in March 2009 than we did in March 2008.  And almost all of these sales have been in the low end of the market, meaning the first time buyers have scooped up all the deals.  We have almost reached a housing shortage, and multiple offers are a daily occurrence again in Vancouver.
 
A good chunk of what's currently left for sale is overpriced, left over from listings taken last summer or fall -- before sellers were willing to admit what's happened.  None of this overpriced stuff is going to sell, and will instead expire over the next few months.  Because of the large inventory of "unsaleable" housing, the current sale-able listing count in Vancouver is actually on the low side.
 
According to CMHC stats just released yesterday, there are currently only 24,206 new units under construction (including condos, rental units, and houses), and housing starts are down an incredible 72% since last year. Statistics BC is projecting 65,000 people will move to the province this year, with the vast majority of them coming to Vancouver.  Rental vacancy rates are already under 1% in most areas of Vancouver....  Who remembers what happens to prices when you have a small supply and a huge demand?
 
So.....  If you have been planning to buy, do so asap!  I promise you that prices will go up again sooner than most people realize.  If you've been planning to trade-up into a bigger house or condo, the window of opportunity for you to do that before prices go up is closing fast! 
 
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Telf Maynard
Cell:604.264.8353
Email:telf@telf.ca
Fax:604.800.1678
Dexter Associates Realty
2094 West 43rd Avenue
Vancouver, BC
V6M 2C9 Canada